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Lucy Baldwin from Citi expects the Fed to cut interest rate by 125bps between July and next January as tariffs hurt growth and drive up unemployment. Loretta Mester, Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, discusses the impact of U.S. tariffs on the economy and what she thinks the Fed’s focus is for policy moving forward. From the S&P 500 to the Dow Jones, these indexes provide a holistic view of market health and direction. A spike in the index could signal overall bullish sentiment, while a dip might hint at prevailing market uncertainties. By keeping an eye on these indicators, one can tune into the broader market pulse.

Tariff pauses and deregulation are tailwinds for small-cap stocks. Sign up for CNN Business’ nightly newsletter for the top stories you need to know.

The trade truces are undoubtedly bullish — but mask unresolved issues: Morning Brief

Major index providers had already moved U.S. government bonds to the double-A bucket, as they either use the middle rating or the lowest (worst) of the three to determine index eligibility. This is why the latest downgrade won’t trigger forced selling of Treasuries by passive funds that track these indexes. The one-notch downgrade means that the U.S. lost its last triple-A credit rating after Standard & Poor’s (S&P) took similar action in 2011 and Fitch in 20231. This week, traders will get additional snapshots of the economy and corporate landscape when the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the personal consumption index. Several retailers as well as chipmaker Nvidia, which has been fueling the artificial intelligence boom, will report earnings Wednesday. How US stock moves from here on depends a lot on the US Fed rate stance.

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Market uncertainty and muted returns in 2025 make portfolio stability and income reliability crucial; dividend stocks are key for navigating volatility. Family offices are loading up on stocks and souring on private equity in one of the fastest shifts in history. Bookmark this page for your daily dose of market insights, and arm yourself with the knowledge to navigate the intricate world of stocks. Because in the world of finance, knowledge isn’t just power—it’s profit. Please bear with us as we address this and restore your personalized lists.

  • Apple rose 0.6% after announcing plans to invest $500 billion in the United States over the next four years and hire 20,000 new people.
  • Edward Jones’ U.S. financial advisors may only conduct business with residents of the states for which they are properly registered.
  • But after the better than expected inflation news was released, odds for that big of a hike have fallen to just 37.5%.
  • The labour market is robust with an unemployment rate of only 4%, so, therefore, any pro-growth policies run the risk of CPI moving higher.
  • Stephen Parker, JPMorgan Private Bank co-head of global investment strategy, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the latest market trends, what investors should do right now with their portfolios, state of …

We expect a modestly stimulative fiscal policy supporting growth but also feeding into deficit concerns. However, we would highlight that the final bill could look very different than the House version that was just passed. This is likely the start of a long process, with Congress setting a goal of a final bill signed into law on July 4. Since the US and China struck a deal to temporarily roll back tariffs last week, markets have been shaking off fears of a trade war and enjoying a rally.

S&P 500 Clubbed Lower By Wall Street Bear Upset Over Bigger National Debt

“The key issue is to what extent Trump / Republican Congress policies over the coming 12 months result in higher realized inflation. The labour market is robust with an unemployment rate of only 4%, so, therefore, any pro-growth policies run the risk of CPI moving higher. US stocks surge as Trump delays EU tariffs; Dow gains 500+ points, M&A activity and strong earnings lift investor sentiment in early trading. Chris Verrone, Strategas chief market strategist, joins ‘Money Movers’ to discuss markets, the consumer confidence numbers and more. Get the latest updates on US markets, world markets, stock quotes, crypto, commodities and currencies.

Gold fell below $2,940 an ounce on Tuesday as investors took profits after a record-breaking day. Meanwhile, Trump’s tax bill continues to face challenges moving through the US House. Trump on Tuesday ventured to Capitol Hill, seeking to reassure and prod both the party’s fiscal hawks and a contingent of mostly blue-state Republicans looking to boost the cap on the state and local tax deduction. The upward momentum of the S&P 500 reversed in the previous week. The total negative change in stock prices however wasn’t large enough to move the trajectory of the S&P 500 outside the redzone foreca… U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the EU’s move to set up talks was positive and that he hoped Europe would “open up” to trade with the U.S. even as he reiterated his threat to unilaterally …

The worst economic numbers will be in the fourth quarter of this year and early 2023, Peterson said. As stocks settle after the trading day, levels might still change slightly. Our investment strategists discuss the latest market and economic developments, and offer investing tips you can use today. This chart shows that interest costs to service the existing government debt are becoming a larger burden to the budget. On May 22 the House passed the reconciliation bill by one vote, the narrowest of margins.

The Nasdaq ends worst bear market in 14 years

New orders for key U.S.-manufactured capital goods fell in April, suggesting business spending on equipment weakened at the start of the second quarter. White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss President Trump’s EU tariff threats, state of U.S.-EU trade negotiations, Trump’s 25% iPhone tariff threat, p… The CFTC’s latest Commitment of Traders data offers key insights into futures market sentiment and positioning. Tracking long versus short positions reveals overall bullish or bearish trends among dif…

US stock futures rose slightly ahead of another key inflation report that is expected to show price hikes are finally beginning to cool off. US stocks rose after Wednesday’s inflation report eased investors’ expectations on how quickly the Fed will raise interest rates. The next Federal Reserve meeting is still six weeks octafx broker reviews away, and a lot more data on inflation, the job market and consumer spending will come out in the meantime. But for what it’s worth, investors are now of the mindset that the Fed won’t have to raise rates as aggressively as previously thought come September 21. Treasuries are still a safe asset – Despite the challenges, we think U.S.

US stocks soared higher on Wednesday after a key inflation index showed that annual inflation is slowing, surprising analysts who expected worse news. This chart shows that over the long Forex harmonics term government bond yields have declined despite debt increasing. When netting out the tax cuts, new spending, revenue provisions, and additional interest-rate cost, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill would add nearly $3 trillion to the budget deficit over the next decade.

On any given day, one sector might outshine the rest, driven by factors such as policy changes, global events, or technological advancements. Tracking the best performing market sectors can offer investors an edge, helping them channel their resources to where the action truly is. In the rapidly evolving world of finance, staying updated about the stock market is paramount for both seasoned investors and novices alike. If you’re keen on getting a snapshot of today’s market, you’ve come to the right place. Here’s your concise market update, highlighting key movers and shakers, top stocks, and a glance at the best performing sectors.

  • I called the market bottom in April, urging investors to buy despite widespread pessimism about tariffs and recession fears.
  • Current divergence—S&P 500 near highs while Russell 2000 lags—mi…
  • Major index providers had already moved U.S. government bonds to the double-A bucket, as they either use the middle rating or the lowest (worst) of the three to determine index eligibility.
  • Bookmark this page for your daily dose of market insights, and arm yourself with the knowledge to navigate the intricate world of stocks.
  • These include tax breaks for tips, overtime, and seniors, as well as raising the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap to $40,000 vs. the original $10,000 for those earnings under $500,000.

Important for investors to look beyond tariff turmoil, says Treasury Partners’ Rich Saperstein

Investors appear to be forgetting shooting star trading that the full impact of even reduced tariffs has yet to be felt. Rich Saperstein, Treasury Partners founding principal and CIO, joins ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss how to play equity markets into the summer. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Wednesday central banks must “respond relatively strongly” when inflation begins to deviate from their target.